Loading institutional data...
Loading institutional data...
Held by 336 of 6,047 reporting institutions (95th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q2 2026
Loading snapshot...
Loading financials...
Loading valuation...
Loading analysis...
Loading dividends & returns...
Loading capital allocation...
Loading debt & leverage...
Loading performance...
Loading peer comparison...
Loading ownership map...
Loading crowding analysis...
Loading conviction analysis...
Loading buy/sell flow...
Loading ownership trends...
Loading top holders...
Loading top holders...
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A reinvestment story — most cash went back into growth rather than to shareholders.
Operating income fell despite reinvestment — a warning on capital productivity. Current ROIC on all capital: 11%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest expense isn't separately reported — often netted into “other income (expense), net.”
Cash vs short-term debt unavailable.
Short-term / long-term split not separately reported.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 44% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $85.3M dividends + $56.9M buybacks = $142.2M returned on $195.4M FCF.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-10-14
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2026 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
ROE 11% against ROIC 11% — 0% of the return on equity comes from leverage and buybacks rather than from the operating business.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
This shows debt/cash structure and net leverage. The year-by-year maturity schedule is on the Debt & Leverage tab.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Profit and sales moved in opposite directions this year.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2025 | FY2026 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 63.1 | 64.7 | 69.5 | 60.2 | 65.0 | 61.5 | 60.8 | 63.5 |
| Gross Profit | 36.9 | 35.3 | 30.5 | 39.8 | 35.0 | 38.5 | 39.2 | 36.5 |
| SG&A | 24.3 | 23.9 | 26.0 | 24.4 | 25.4 | 27.2 | 26.9 | 26.8 |
| Operating Income | 8.4 | 5.4 | -7.2 | 11.8 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 8.0 | 4.1 |
| Income Tax | 2.1 | 1.3 | -2.2 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Net Income | 6.5 | 4.4 | -5.6 | 8.4 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 6.1 | 3.4 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on AEO: price, valuation and headline fundamentals from SEC filings. The four questions at the top of the page are where the judgements live.
Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
Average free cash flow across the last 3 positive fiscal years (FY2025, FY2026, FY2026). Smooths the cycle. Stock compensation is NOT charged — it is added back inside operating cash flow.
To be worth $17.60 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds -8.8%/yr for a decade (off $285.3M on the 3-yr avg basis).
On the basis ($241.9M) the requirement is -6.7%/yr. Shares issued to employees are added back in operating cash flow, so this basis treats them as free.
The market's -8.8% is more conservative than its 9-yr track record.
Default is 6.9% — this company's computed cost of capital (computed WACC), the same rate the Analysis tab discounts at.
2-stage DCF · 0.17B shares (market data) · net debt -$238.9M
Today's price is outside this grid at every discount rate shown — the assumptions it requires lie beyond the plotted range, which is itself the finding.
mean 18.1% · volatility σ 77% · implied rate exceeded in 5/9 yrs
Central path = implied -8.8%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (77%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Ranked against 17 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-06-30.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJX | $155.6B | 29.1× | — | 2.6× | 7.1% | 31.0% | 9.1% | 53.9% | 42.1% | — | 2,651 |
| ROST | $72.1B | 34.1× | 21.5× | 3.2× | 7.7% | 27.7% | 9.4% | 34.7% | 27.8% | -1.0× | 1,360 |
| GAP | $8.0B | 10.7× | 4.3× | 0.5× | 1.9% | 40.8% | 5.3% | 21.5% | 15.4% | -0.7× | 476 |
| URBN | $7.3B | 16.8× | 9.3× | 1.2× | 11.1% | 36.0% | 7.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% | -0.5× | 405 |
| VSXY | $7.1B | 46.0× | 14.8× | 1.1× | 5.2% | 36.4% | 2.5% | 18.8% | 8.8% | 0.9× | — |
| ANF | $6.4B | 14.4× | 6.6× | 1.2× | 6.4% | — | 9.6% | 36.1% | 36.1% | -0.9× | 407 |
| BOOT | $3.6B | 16.0× | 9.1× | 1.6× | 17.9% | 38.1% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 17.1% | -0.4× | 433 |
| AEO | $3.0B | 16.3× | 6.1× | 0.5× | 4.1% | 36.5% | 3.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | -0.5× | 336 |
| BKE | $2.3B | 10.8× | 8.0× | 1.8× | 6.6% | 49.0% | 16.2% | 49.4% | 49.4% | 0.0× | 286 |
| CTRN | $414M | 78.7× | 18.5× | 0.5× | 8.9% | — | 0.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0× | 143 |
| GCO | $391M | 28.9× | 4.1× | 0.2× | 4.8% | 46.3% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4× | 138 |
| SHOE | $356M | 6.9× | 2.4× | 0.3× | -5.6% | 36.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | -1.2× | — |
| DBI | $300M | — | 6.4× | 0.1× | -3.9% | 43.6% | -0.3% | -3.0% | -1.2% | 3.6× | 133 |
| LE | $299M | 56.2× | 6.8× | 0.3× | 0.7% | 55.9% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.8× | 125 |
| CURV | $235M | — | 8.5× | 0.2× | -9.4% | 34.8% | -0.7% | 3.3% | -11.9% | 4.4× | 92 |
| ZUMZ | $216M | 18.1× | 2.3× | 0.2× | 4.5% | 35.8% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.4× | 123 |
| VNCE | $152M | 24.0× | 14.1× | 0.5× | 2.2% | 49.7% | 2.1% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 1.6× | 35 |
| DLTH | $150M | — | 11.4× | 0.3× | -9.8% | 53.4% | -2.9% | -9.7% | -9.7% | -1.4× | 58 |
Peers = companies sharing AEO's sector (Retail-Family Clothing Stores) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
EOD close · as of 2026-10-14
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2026
Dividends and buybacks are cash paid out, shown here against the same year's profit for scale — not funded from it.
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2026 | FY2026 | FY2025 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.55B 100.0% | $5.33B 100.0% | $5.26B 100.0% | $4.99B 100.0% | $5.01B 100.0% | $3.76B 100.0% | $4.31B 100.0% | $4.04B 100.0% | $3.80B 100.0% | $3.61B 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | $3.52B 63.5% | $3.24B 60.8% | $3.24B 61.5% | $3.24B 65.0% | $3.02B 60.2% | $2.61B 69.5% | $2.79B 64.7% | $2.55B 63.1% | $2.43B 63.9% | $2.24B 62.1% |
| Gross Profit | $2.03B 36.5% | $2.09B 39.2% | $2.02B 38.5% | $1.75B 35.0% | $1.99B 39.8% | $1.15B 30.5% | $1.52B 35.3% | $1.49B 36.9% | $1.37B 36.1% | $1.37B 37.9% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $1.49B 26.8% | $1.43B 26.9% | $1.43B 27.2% | $1.27B 25.4% | $1.22B 24.4% | $977.3M 26.0% | $1.03B 23.9% | $980.6M 24.3% | $879.7M 23.2% | $857.6M 23.8% |
| Operating Income | $226.2M 4.1% | $427.3M 8.0% | $222.7M 4.2% | $247.0M 5.0% | $591.1M 11.8% | -$271.3M -7.2% | $233.3M 5.4% | $337.1M 8.4% | $302.8M 8.0% | $331.5M 9.2% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $27.3M 0.5% | $4.7M 0.1% | $10.0M 0.2% | $10.5M 0.2% | $2.5M 0.0% | $3.7M 0.1% | $5.7M 0.1% | $4.5M 0.1% | -$15.6M -0.4% | $3.8M 0.1% |
| Pretax Income | $249.4M 4.5% | $439.8M 8.3% | $238.9M 4.5% | $178.5M 3.6% | $558.9M 11.2% | -$292.3M -7.8% | $245.3M 5.7% | $345.1M 8.6% | $287.2M 7.6% | $335.3M 9.3% |
| Income Tax Expense | $63.9M 1.2% | $112.9M 2.1% | $69.8M 1.3% | $53.4M 1.1% | $139.3M 2.8% | -$83.0M -2.2% | $54.0M 1.3% | $83.2M 2.1% | $83.0M 2.2% | $122.8M 3.4% |
| Net Income | $186.0M 3.4% | $327.0M 6.1% | $169.0M 3.2% | $124.0M 2.5% | $420.0M 8.4% | -$209.3M -5.6% | $191.3M 4.4% | $261.9M 6.5% | $204.2M 5.4% | $212.4M 5.9% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $1.12 | $1.71 | $0.87 | $0.69 | $2.50 | -$1.26 | $1.13 | $1.48 | $1.15 | $1.17 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.09 | $1.68 | $0.86 | $0.64 | $2.03 | -$1.26 | $1.12 | $1.47 | $1.13 | $1.16 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 172.2M | 193.1M | 195.6M | 181.8M | 168.2M | 166.5M | 169.7M | 176.5M | 177.9M | 181.4M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 176.1M | 196.4M | 196.9M | 205.2M | 206.5M | 166.5M | 170.9M | 178.0M | 180.2M | 183.8M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Earns -2.14pts against its cost of capital — capital is being consumed, not created.
| Period | ROIC | Cost of capital | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | 6.6% | 6.8% (today's — no rate published for this year) | -0.2pts |
| FY2021 | -9.4% | 6.8% (today's — no rate published for this year) | -16.2pts |
| FY2022 | 14.9% | 6.8% (today's — no rate published for this year) | 8.1pts |
| FY2023 | 6.2% | 6.8% (today's — no rate published for this year) | -0.6pts |
| FY2025 | 6.1% | 6.8% (today's — no rate published for this year) | -0.8pts |
| FY2026 | 10.3% | 6.8% (today's — no rate published for this year) | 3.4pts |
| FY2026 | 5.0% | 6.8% (today's — no rate published for this year) | -1.8pts |
| Now | 11.3% | 6.8% | 4.5pts |
| Fiscal year | Gross margin | Operating margin | Net margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | 37.9% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| FY2019 | 36.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| FY2020 | 36.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% |
| FY2021 | 35.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
| FY2021 | 30.5% | -7.2% | -5.6% |
| FY2022 | 39.8% | 11.8% | 8.4% |
| FY2023 | 35.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| FY2025 | 38.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| FY2026 | 39.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| FY2026 | 36.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
Return on equity (11%) and return on invested capital (11%) are within a couple of points in FY2026, so the headline return is the operating return — there is no meaningful leverage effect to strip out.
$225M of goodwill — 6% of invested capital. The gap is what was paid above the fair value of what was bought; it is real capital shareholders provided, so neither bar is the whole answer.
The spread has been narrowing over the last three years.
Converts 1.10x of reported profit into free cash flow over 5 years, with accruals negative.
Reported free cash flow is $195M; after share-based compensation it is $156M. The difference is a real cost that the cash flow statement adds back.
Debt is present but there is no positive EBITDA or no reported interest expense, so coverage cannot be measured.
Balance sheet at 2026-01-31. Undrawn revolving credit is not shown: the tag is collected but not yet mapped through to the API.
No material counter-signal in the checked set: net debt / EBITDA, interest coverage, stressed coverage, maturity schedule vs cash and one year of FCF, liquidity ratios.
Missing from our data, so excluded from this answer: interest_expense.
At $17.78, free cash flow must compound -2.48%/yr for 10 years. It has done -0.8%/yr over 6 years.
| Fiscal year | FCF growth | Price requires |
|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | −63.7% | −2.5% |
| FY2022 | −6.3% | −2.5% |
| FY2023 | 109.0% | −2.5% |
| FY2025 | 178.4% | −2.5% |
| FY2026 | −37.4% | −2.5% |
| FY2026 | −23.2% | −2.5% |
The implied rate has been matched or beaten in 2 of the last 6 years.
| Step | Amount | Running total |
|---|---|---|
| Net income | $192M | $192M |
| Share-based comp | $39M | $231M |
| Other non-cash & working capital | $225M | $456M |
| Operating cash flow | $456M | $456M |
| Capex | −$261M | $195M |
| Free cash flow | $195M | $195M |
| FCF after SBC | $156M | $156M |
| Fiscal year | Revenue growth | Receivables growth | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | -12.8% | 22.7% | 35.5 points |
| FY2022 | 33.3% | 96.2% | 62.9 points |
| FY2023 | -0.4% | -15.4% | -15.0 points |
| FY2025 | 5.5% | 2.3% | -3.2 points |
| FY2026 | 1.3% | 5.8% | 4.6 points |
| FY2026 | 4.1% | -1.4% | -5.5 points |
| Fiscal year | DSO | DIO | DPO | Cash conversion cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | 10.1 days | 58.5 days | 37.4 days | 31.1 days |
| FY2021 | 14.2 days | 56.7 days | 35.8 days | 35.1 days |
| FY2022 | 20.9 days | 66.9 days | 28 days | 59.8 days |
| FY2023 | 17.7 days | 65.8 days | 26.4 days | 57.2 days |
| FY2025 | 17.2 days | 72.2 days | 30.3 days | 59.2 days |
| FY2026 | 18 days | 71.7 days | 31.6 days | 58.1 days |
| FY2026 | 17 days | 72.7 days | 26.1 days | 63.7 days |
| Fiscal year | Accruals / assets |
|---|---|
| FY2021 | -6.7 percent |
| FY2021 | -12.0 percent |
| FY2022 | 3.1 percent |
| FY2023 | -8.2 percent |
| FY2025 | -11.5 percent |
| FY2026 | -3.9 percent |
| FY2026 | -6.6 percent |
SBC is added back inside operating cash flow, so reported free cash flow treats shares issued to employees as free. Percent of revenue says how expensive the payroll is; percent of operating cash flow says how much of the cash exists only because the charge was added back. The buyback offset is buybacks over SBC — below 1.0 the repurchase does not cover the shares issued.
Figures are the latest fiscal year (FY2026) from the company's own filings, not a trailing-twelve-month window — Q2 reads fiscal years throughout so the cash-conversion ratios and these share one basis. A blank is a line the filer did not report; it is never read as zero.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.