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Institutional accumulation: ownership increased +0.68% quarter-over-quarter.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $38.18 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 9.6%/yr for a decade (off $15M normalized FCF).
The market's 9.6% is more optimistic than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.01B shares · net debt $45M
mean 257.2% · volatility σ 686% · implied rate exceeded in 1/4 yrs
Central path = implied 9.6%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (686%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
Ranked against 235 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | $896.8B | 41.1× | — | 1.3× | 4.7% | 24.9% | 3.1% | 22.0% | 15.5% | — | 4,273 |
| COST | $417.5B | 51.7× | 31.9× | 1.5× | 8.2% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 27.8% | 23.2% | 0.4× | 4,050 |
| KO | $373.6B | 28.6× | 24.5× | 7.8× | 1.9% | 61.6% | 27.3% | 40.7% | 40.7% | — | 3,427 |
| PG | $345.0B | 22.6× | 16.3× | 4.1× | 0.3% | 51.2% | 19.0% | 30.6% | 18.4% | 1.5× | 3,849 |
| PM | $294.0B | 26.0× | 17.1× | 7.2× | 7.3% | 67.1% | 27.9% | -114% | -115% | 0.0× | 2,744 |
| PEP | $190.0B | 23.1× | 15.4× | 2.0× | 2.3% | 54.1% | 8.8% | 40.4% | 11.8% | 3.3× | 3,404 |
| BUDFF | $151.5B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 |
| UNLYF | $138.7B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23 |
| MO | $114.6B | 16.6× | 13.2× | 4.9× | -3.1% | 62.5% | 29.8% | -198% | 33.7% | 2.4× | 2,375 |
| MNST | $92.4B | — | 35.6× | 11.1× | 10.7% | 55.8% | 23.0% | 23.1% | 23.1% | — | 1,169 |
| MDLZ | $81.0B | 33.1× | 19.0× | 2.1× | 5.8% | 28.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 0.6× | 1,821 |
| CL | $74.7B | 35.5× | 20.4× | 3.7× | 1.4% | 60.1% | 10.5% | 3948% | 30.8% | 1.7× | 1,873 |
| TGT | $66.9B | 18.2× | 9.8× | 0.6× | -1.7% | 27.9% | 3.5% | 22.9% | 12.1% | 1.7× | 1,771 |
| DGEAF | $54.3B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
| CCEP | $48.8B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 543 |
| ABEV | $47.8B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 383 |
| JBS | $45.1B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 241 |
| FMX | $42.4B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 290 |
| KDP | $41.8B | 20.1× | 14.1× | 2.5× | 8.2% | 54.2% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.0× | 784 |
| SYY | $41.1B | 22.6× | 10.3× | 0.5× | 3.2% | 18.4% | 2.2% | 99.9% | 99.9% | — | 1,489 |
| KVUE | $37.7B | 25.9× | 15.7× | 2.5× | -2.1% | 58.1% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 3.4× | 967 |
| ADM | $37.6B | 34.8× | — | 0.5× | -6.2% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | — | 1,070 |
| KMB | $37.3B | 18.5× | 11.8× | 2.3× | -2.1% | 36.0% | 12.3% | 135% | 92.0% | 0.2× | 1,585 |
| KR | $37.0B | 36.8× | 9.2× | 0.3× | 0.4% | — | 0.7% | 17.1% | 5.0% | 2.8× | 1,327 |
| HSY | $36.4B | — | 21.2× | 3.1× | 4.4% | 33.5% | 7.6% | 19.0% | 9.3% | 2.5× | 1,406 |
| ALCO | $292M | — | — | 6.6× | -5.5% | -436% | -334% | -143% | -79.3% | -3.0× | 107 |
Peers = companies sharing ALCO's sector (Consumer Defensive) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
EOD close · as of 2026-08-05 · 13d old
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $44.1M 100.0% | $46.6M 100.0% | $39.8M 100.0% | $91.9M 100.0% | $108.6M 100.0% | $92.5M 100.0% | $122.3M 100.0% | $81.3M 100.0% | $129.8M 100.0% | $144.2M 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | — | — | — | $106.7M 116.1% | $84.7M 78.0% | $74.6M 80.6% | $61.9M 50.6% | $55.7M 68.5% | $120.9M 93.1% | $109.1M 75.7% |
| Gross Profit | -$192.2M -436.2% | -$56.4M -120.9% | $6.4M 16.2% | -$14.8M -16.1% | $23.9M 22.0% | $17.9M 19.4% | $60.4M 49.4% | $25.6M 31.5% | $8.9M 6.9% | $35.1M 24.3% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $11.7M 26.6% | $11.1M 23.7% | $10.6M 26.7% | $10.1M 11.0% | $9.5M 8.7% | $11.0M 11.9% | $15.1M 12.4% | $15.1M 18.5% | $15.0M 11.6% | $13.2M 9.2% |
| Operating Income | -$203.9M -462.7% | -$67.5M -144.6% | -$4.2M -10.5% | -$24.8M -27.0% | $14.4M 13.3% | $6.9M 7.5% | $45.2M 37.0% | $10.5M 13.0% | -$6.1M -4.7% | $21.8M 15.2% |
| Interest Expense | $4.8M 11.0% | $3.5M 7.6% | $4.9M 12.3% | $3.3M 3.6% | $4.0M 3.7% | $6.0M 6.5% | $7.2M 5.9% | $8.6M 10.5% | $9.1M 7.0% | $9.9M 6.9% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $18.0M 40.8% | $78.4M 168.1% | $6.7M 16.7% | $37.8M 41.1% | $31.9M 29.4% | $24.5M 26.4% | $5.0M 4.1% | $2.7M 3.3% | -$7.2M -5.6% | -$9.4M -6.5% |
| Pretax Income | -$185.9M -421.9% | $11.0M 23.5% | $2.5M 6.2% | $13.0M 14.1% | $46.4M 42.7% | $31.4M 33.9% | $50.2M 41.1% | $13.2M 16.2% | -$13.3M -10.3% | $12.5M 8.7% |
| Income Tax Expense | -$38.4M -87.2% | $4.6M 9.9% | $801K 2.0% | $1.1M 1.2% | $11.6M 10.7% | $7.7M 8.3% | $12.8M 10.5% | $390K 0.5% | -$3.8M -3.0% | $5.5M 3.8% |
| Net Income | -$147.3M -334.3% | $7.0M 14.9% | $1.8M 4.6% | $12.5M 13.6% | $34.9M 32.1% | $23.7M 25.6% | $37.8M 30.9% | $13.1M 16.1% | -$9.5M -7.3% | $7.0M 4.8% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $-19.29 | $0.91 | $0.24 | $1.65 | $4.64 | $3.16 | $5.06 | $1.59 | $-1.14 | $0.84 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-19.29 | $0.91 | $0.24 | $1.65 | $4.64 | $3.16 | $5.05 | $1.57 | $-1.14 | $0.84 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 7.6M | 7.6M | 7.6M | 7.6M | 7.5M | 7.5M | 7.5M | 8.2M | 8.3M | 8.3M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 7.6M | 7.6M | 7.6M | 7.6M | 7.5M | 7.5M | 7.5M | 8.3M | 8.3M | 8.3M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Eight indices comparing this year to last (receivables, margins, asset quality, growth, accruals, leverage). Above −1.78 suggests possible manipulation; below −2.22 is clean.
A screen, not proof — high growth alone can raise it.
Cash-conversion data unavailable. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Interest coverage is thin — monitor; leverage falling year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 10% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $2M dividends + $0 buybacks = $2M returned on $15M FCF.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A reinvestment story — most cash went back into growth rather than to shareholders.
Operating income fell despite reinvestment — a warning on capital productivity. Current ROIC on all capital: -79%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $38M covers the $250000 due within a year 152.5× over. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2025-09-30 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Thin coverage — earnings barely cover interest. Effective rate ~5.9% on $83M of debt.
Cash of $38M fully covers short-term debt of $250000.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-08-05
No standout strengths flagged.
Where each multiple sits in its own 14-yr range · 100th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 14-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Profit and sales moved in opposite directions this year.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 68.5 | 50.6 | 80.6 | 78.0 | 116.1 | — | — | — |
| Gross Profit | 31.5 | 49.4 | 19.4 | 22.0 | -16.1 | 16.2 | -120.9 | -436.2 |
| SG&A | 18.5 | 12.4 | 11.9 | 8.7 | 11.0 | 26.7 | 23.7 | 26.6 |
| Operating Income | 13.0 | 37.0 | 7.5 | 13.3 | -27.0 | -10.5 | -144.6 | -462.7 |
| Income Tax | 0.5 | 10.5 | 8.3 | 10.7 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 9.9 | -87.2 |
| Net Income | 16.1 | 30.9 | 25.6 | 32.1 | 13.6 | 4.6 | 14.9 | -334.3 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on ALCO: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position