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No institutional (13F) filings cover this company, so the Overview and 13F tabs are thin. Everything drawn from its SEC filings is here.
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
Average free cash flow across the last 3 positive fiscal years (FY2023, FY2024, FY2025). Smooths the cycle. Stock compensation is NOT charged — it is added back inside operating cash flow.
To be worth $115.84 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 3.4%/yr for a decade (off $5.61B on the 3-yr avg basis).
On the basis ($4.76B) the requirement is 5.6%/yr. Shares issued to employees are added back in operating cash flow, so this basis treats them as free.
The market's 3.4% is more conservative than its 4-yr track record.
Default is the published 10.0% — this company's own cost of capital could not be computed.
2-stage DCF · 0.59B shares (market data) · net debt $13.36B
mean 99.3% · volatility σ 127% · implied rate exceeded in 3/4 yrs
Central path = implied 3.4%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (127%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 17% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $1.20B dividends + $773.0M buybacks = $1.97B returned on $7.25B FCF.
3 consecutive years of dividend increases · -3%/yr.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 6 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A cash-return story — far more went to shareholders than back into the business (mature, low-reinvestment).
Insufficient data. Current ROIC on all capital: 10%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 6 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-10-30
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Dividends and buybacks are cash paid out, shown here against the same year's profit for scale — not funded from it.
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $32.05B 100.0% | $26.11B 100.0% | $32.64B 100.0% | $10.97B 100.0% | $5.95B 100.0% | $2.35B 100.0% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $25.29B 78.9% | $18.98B 72.7% | $27.33B 83.7% | $15.91B 145.1% | $4.11B 69.1% | $1.58B 67.1% |
| Interest Expense | $618.0M 1.9% | $474.0M 1.8% | $268.0M 0.8% | $222.0M 2.0% | $138.0M 2.3% | $133.0M 5.6% |
| Pretax Income | $6.68B 20.8% | $7.43B 28.5% | $5.59B 17.1% | -$4.25B -38.7% | $4.86B 81.7% | $553.0M 23.5% |
| Income Tax Expense | $1.28B 4.0% | $1.06B 4.1% | -$923.0M -2.8% | -$739.0M -6.7% | $594.0M 10.0% | $86.0M 3.7% |
| Net Income | $3.40B 10.6% | $4.48B 17.2% | $5.00B 15.3% | -$1.96B -17.9% | $1.80B 30.3% | $157.0M 6.7% |
| Per Share | ||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $5.58 | $7.39 | $8.32 | -$3.43 | $7.32 | $0.44 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $5.54 | $7.33 | $8.28 | -$3.43 | $7.32 | $0.44 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 589.5M | 586.1M | 581.4M | 584.7M | 236.6M | 227.5M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 593.7M | 604.0M | 588.8M | 584.7M | 236.6M | 227.5M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
EOD close · as of 2026-10-30
Where each multiple sits in its own 6-yr range · 25th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 6-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
ROE 15% against ROIC 10% — 5% of the return on equity comes from leverage and buybacks rather than from the operating business.
Equity is the year-end figure. On average equity over the two year-ends, ROE is 17.2% — the two diverge when buybacks or issuance move equity during the year.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
This shows debt/cash structure and net leverage. The year-by-year maturity schedule is on the Debt & Leverage tab.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Operating leverage needs meaningful revenue change.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Tax | 3.7 | 10.0 | -6.7 | -2.8 | 4.1 | 4.0 |
| Net Income | 6.7 | 30.3 | -17.9 | 15.3 | 17.2 | 10.6 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on APO: price, valuation and headline fundamentals from SEC filings. The four questions at the top of the page are where the judgements live.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Insufficient EBITDA/debt history.
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest expense isn't separately reported — often netted into “other income (expense), net.” Effective rate ~4.6% on $13.36B of debt.
Cash vs short-term debt unavailable.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). A year-by-year maturity schedule wasn't disclosed for this issuer.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Educational — not a recommendation.
Cash conversion and accruals. The full answer — share-based compensation, the cash conversion waterfall, working-capital trend — is still being built, so this block states what it measures rather than issuing a verdict.
One year is not a trend. The spec asks for a 3- and 5-year average of FCF/net income precisely because a single year turns on working-capital timing, and that arrives with the full Q2 block.