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Held by 783 of 5,944 reporting institutions (98th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $127.54 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 12.7%/yr for a decade (off $3.4B normalized FCF).
The market's 12.7% is more optimistic than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.61B shares · net debt $20.9B
mean 5.9% · volatility σ 24% · implied rate exceeded in 3/9 yrs
Central path = implied 12.7%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (24%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
EOD close · as of 2026-08-05 · 15d old
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 | FY2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $17.30B 100.0% | $17.05B 100.0% | $16.83B 100.0% | $17.11B 100.0% | $13.82B 100.0% | $14.92B 100.0% | $14.32B 100.0% | $13.04B 100.0% | $12.04B 100.0% | $12.61B 100.0% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $10.72B 61.9% | $10.80B 63.4% | $10.23B 60.8% | $10.27B 60.0% | $9.04B 65.4% | $9.32B 62.5% | $8.83B 61.6% | $7.80B 59.8% | $7.00B 58.2% | $7.34B 58.2% |
| Operating Income | $6.59B 38.1% | $6.25B 36.6% | $6.60B 39.2% | $6.84B 40.0% | $4.78B 34.6% | $5.59B 37.5% | $5.49B 38.4% | $5.24B 40.2% | $5.03B 41.8% | $5.27B 41.8% |
| Interest Expense | $913.0M 5.3% | $891.0M 5.2% | $722.0M 4.3% | $548.0M 3.2% | $554.0M 4.0% | $538.0M 3.6% | $489.0M 3.4% | $481.0M 3.7% | $480.0M 4.0% | $439.0M 3.5% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $88.0M 0.5% | $42.0M 0.2% | $134.0M 0.8% | -$27.0M -0.2% | $6.0M 0.0% | $53.0M 0.4% | $376.0M 2.6% | $12.0M 0.1% | $95.0M 0.8% | $47.0M 0.4% |
| Pretax Income | $6.26B 36.2% | $5.85B 34.3% | $6.49B 38.6% | $6.76B 39.5% | $4.54B 32.9% | $5.43B 36.4% | $5.68B 39.7% | $5.09B 39.0% | $4.93B 40.9% | $4.87B 38.6% |
| Income Tax Expense | $1.54B 8.9% | $1.40B 8.2% | $863.0M 5.1% | $1.65B 9.6% | $982.0M 7.1% | $1.21B 8.1% | $1.35B 9.5% | -$395.0M -3.0% | $1.29B 10.7% | $1.34B 10.6% |
| Net Income | $4.72B 27.3% | $4.45B 26.1% | $5.63B 33.4% | $5.12B 29.9% | $3.56B 25.8% | $4.22B 28.3% | $4.33B 30.2% | $5.48B 42.1% | $3.64B 30.2% | $3.54B 28.1% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $7.58 | $7.02 | $8.55 | $7.46 | $5.01 | $5.85 | $5.89 | $7.28 | $4.69 | $4.42 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $7.57 | $7.01 | $8.53 | $7.44 | $5.00 | $5.83 | $5.87 | $7.24 | $4.67 | $4.39 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 623.1M | 633.5M | 657.7M | 686.4M | 711.3M | 720.1M | 734.5M | 753.6M | 776.0M | 800.7M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 623.7M | 634.5M | 659.1M | 688.3M | 713.0M | 722.6M | 737.7M | 757.3M | 779.2M | 805.1M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
7/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Cash conversion lags reported earnings — watch accruals. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Comfortably covers interest; leverage falling year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 65% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $2.2B dividends + $2.1B buybacks = $4.3B returned on $3.4B FCF.
9 consecutive years of dividend increases · 12%/yr.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A balanced mix of reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Modest payoff on reinvested capital. Current ROIC on all capital: 11%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $350M is below the $902M due within a year — relies on refinancing or operating cash flow. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2025-12-31 (6-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest is easily covered by operating profit. Effective rate ~4.3% on $21.2B of debt.
Cash vs short-term debt unavailable.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-08-05
Where each multiple sits in its own 13-yr range · 89th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 13-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
High operating leverage: profit moved 3.6× as fast as sales — great in an upturn, painful in a downturn.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2017 | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | 40.2 | 38.4 | 37.5 | 34.6 | 40.0 | 39.2 | 36.6 | 38.1 |
| Income Tax | -3.0 | 9.5 | 8.1 | 7.1 | 9.6 | 5.1 | 8.2 | 8.9 |
| Net Income | 42.1 | 30.2 | 28.3 | 25.8 | 29.9 | 33.4 | 26.1 | 27.3 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on CNI: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
Ranked against 633 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM | $33.13T | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 160 |
| CAT | $405.3B | 46.3× | 32.2× | 6.0× | 4.3% | 33.8% | 13.1% | 41.7% | 15.4% | 2.7× | 3,616 |
| GE | $399.8B | 46.8× | — | 8.7× | 18.5% | — | 19.0% | 46.6% | 22.2% | — | 3,077 |
| RTX | $298.4B | 44.8× | 21.3× | 3.4× | 9.7% | — | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 0.0× | 3,277 |
| ABBNY | $187.8B | 50.7× | 33.5× | 5.8× | 9.5% | 34.8% | 11.9% | 28.5% | 20.4% | 0.9× | 48 |
| UNP | $175.3B | 24.7× | 16.7× | 7.2× | 1.1% | — | 29.1% | 38.7% | 14.2% | 2.6× | 2,648 |
| ETN | $173.5B | 42.8× | — | 6.3× | 10.3% | 37.6% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 13.9% | — | 2,398 |
| DE | $165.5B | 33.1× | — | 3.6× | -11.7% | — | 11.0% | 19.4% | 12.6% | — | 2,491 |
| HON | $157.6B | 33.7× | 18.9× | 4.2× | 7.8% | 36.9% | 12.6% | 34.0% | 9.8% | 3.6× | 2,694 |
| HTHIF | $153.6B | 0.7× | — | 0.0× | 3.9% | 25.2% | 2.6% | 16.6% | 7.4% | — | 2 |
| LMT | $132.3B | 26.9× | 17.0× | 1.8× | 5.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 74.6% | 18.4% | 2.4× | 2,807 |
| PH | $127.9B | 36.8× | 28.7× | 6.4× | -0.4% | 36.9% | 17.8% | 25.8% | 16.7% | 1.6× | 1,845 |
| HWM | $117.0B | 78.5× | 51.2× | 14.2× | 11.1% | — | 18.3% | 28.2% | 18.4% | 1.2× | 1,399 |
| ADP | $109.5B | 27.1× | — | 5.3× | 7.1% | 46.0% | 19.8% | 65.9% | 40.1% | — | 2,179 |
| TT | $107.8B | 37.3× | 26.5× | 5.1× | 7.5% | — | 13.7% | 34.0% | 22.1% | 1.1× | 1,658 |
| VRT | $106.3B | 81.5× | 50.3× | 10.4× | 27.7% | 36.3% | 13.0% | 33.8% | 19.5% | 1.4× | 1,748 |
| GD | $103.9B | 24.9× | 18.1× | 2.0× | 10.1% | — | 8.0% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 1.3× | 2,123 |
| PWR | $102.2B | 100.4× | 50.3× | 3.6× | 20.3% | 15.0% | 3.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 0.0× | 1,659 |
| JCI | $100.1B | 30.6× | — | 4.2× | 2.8% | 36.4% | 13.9% | 25.5% | 14.4% | — | 1,487 |
| MMM | $96.6B | 30.4× | 18.4× | 3.9× | 1.5% | 39.9% | 13.0% | 69.1% | 18.8% | 2.1× | 2,051 |
| CSX | $95.1B | 33.2× | 15.3× | 6.8× | -3.1% | — | 20.5% | 22.0% | 22.0% | — | 1,791 |
| EMR | $91.4B | 40.2× | — | 5.1× | 3.0% | 52.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.9% | — | 2,112 |
| UPS | $91.4B | 16.4× | 10.1× | 1.0× | -2.6% | — | 6.3% | 34.3% | 13.8% | 2.2× | 2,025 |
| WM | $90.4B | 33.5× | 12.7× | 3.6× | 14.2% | 40.4% | 10.7% | 27.1% | 25.3% | 0.1× | 2,262 |
| CMI | $89.7B | 31.7× | 16.9× | 2.7× | -1.3% | 25.3% | 8.8% | 23.9% | 23.9% | — | 1,877 |
| CNI | $78.4B | 16.9× | 11.6× | 4.5× | 1.5% | — | 27.3% | 21.9% | 11.0% | 2.5× | 783 |
Peers = companies sharing CNI's sector (Industrials) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.