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Held by 1,244 of 5,944 reporting institutions (99th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $21.49 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 10.2%/yr for a decade (off $5.9B normalized FCF).
The market's 10.2% is more conservative than its 7-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 3.44B shares (market data) · net debt $67.1B
mean 320.8% · volatility σ 756% · implied rate exceeded in 4/7 yrs
Central path = implied 10.2%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (756%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-14
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $85.54B 100.0% | $82.67B 100.0% | $78.59B 100.0% | $89.88B 100.0% | $67.42B 100.0% | $38.95B 100.0% | $54.21B 100.0% | $54.09B 100.0% | $40.52B 100.0% | $31.79B 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | $63.49B 74.2% | $61.98B 75.0% | $60.54B 77.0% | $72.23B 80.4% | $50.40B 74.8% | $25.49B 65.4% | $39.80B 73.4% | $41.60B 76.9% | $30.97B 76.4% | $23.69B 74.5% |
| Cost of Products | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $30.97B 76.4% | $23.69B 74.5% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $1.18B 1.4% | $1.18B 1.4% | $985.0M 1.3% | $1.02B 1.1% | $818.0M 1.2% | $711.0M 1.8% | $694.0M 1.3% | $702.0M 1.3% | $599.0M 1.5% | $656.0M 2.1% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $76.51B 89.4% | $73.53B 88.9% | $70.29B 89.4% | $82.14B 91.4% | $58.63B 87.0% | $35.97B 92.3% | $47.01B 86.7% | $48.68B 90.0% | $37.80B 93.3% | $29.94B 94.2% |
| Operating Income | $9.03B 10.6% | $9.14B 11.1% | $8.29B 10.6% | $7.74B 8.6% | $8.79B 13.0% | $2.98B 7.7% | $7.20B 13.3% | $5.40B 10.0% | $2.72B 6.7% | $1.85B 5.8% |
| Interest Expense | $3.47B 4.1% | $3.13B 3.8% | $2.58B 3.3% | $2.31B 2.6% | $2.27B 3.4% | $2.33B 6.0% | $2.33B 4.3% | $2.06B 3.8% | $1.92B 4.7% | $1.80B 5.7% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $120.0M 0.1% | $140.0M 0.2% | $122.0M 0.2% | $90.0M 0.1% | $77.0M 0.1% | $12.0M 0.0% | $105.0M 0.2% | $62.0M 0.1% | $206.0M 0.5% | $124.0M 0.4% |
| Pretax Income | — | — | — | — | $6.87B 10.2% | $377.0M 1.0% | $5.02B 9.3% | $3.69B 6.8% | $710.0M 1.8% | $204.0M 0.6% |
| Income Tax Expense | $350.0M 0.4% | $541.0M 0.7% | $303.0M 0.4% | $204.0M 0.2% | $184.0M 0.3% | $237.0M 0.6% | $195.0M 0.4% | $4.0M 0.0% | -$1.83B -4.5% | -$258.0M -0.8% |
| Net Income | $4.43B 5.2% | $4.81B 5.8% | $3.94B 5.0% | $4.76B 5.3% | $5.47B 8.1% | -$648.0M -1.7% | $3.52B 6.5% | $1.75B 3.2% | $954.0M 2.4% | $995.0M 3.1% |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
5/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Insufficient balance-sheet detail (needs retained earnings, working capital, equity).
Eight indices comparing this year to last (receivables, margins, asset quality, growth, accruals, leverage). Above −1.78 suggests possible manipulation; below −2.22 is clean.
A screen, not proof — high growth alone can raise it.
Cash conversion lags reported earnings — watch accruals. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Interest coverage is thin — monitor; leverage rising year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
No dividend to cover. Last year: $0 dividends + $0 buybacks = $0 returned on $3.8B FCF.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A reinvestment story — most cash went back into growth rather than to shareholders.
Reinvestment has been productive — operating income grew well per dollar put in. Current ROIC on all capital: 4%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
No trend data available for this metric.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-14
No standout strengths flagged.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Profit and sales moved in opposite directions this year.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 76.9 | 73.4 | 65.4 | 74.8 | 80.4 | 77.0 | 75.0 | 74.2 |
| SG&A | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Operating Income | 10.0 | 13.3 | 7.7 | 13.0 | 8.6 | 10.6 | 11.1 | 10.6 |
| Income Tax | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Net Income | 3.2 | 6.5 | -1.7 | 8.1 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 5.2 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on ET: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $1.3B is below the $3.5B due within a year — relies on refinancing or operating cash flow. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2025-12-31 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Coverage is adequate but not comfortable. Effective rate ~5.1% on $68.3B of debt.
Cash of $1.3B fully covers short-term debt of $25M.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
Ranked against 238 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM | $689.9B | 24.6× | — | 2.1× | -5.0% | — | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | — | 4,568 |
| SHEL | $550.6B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1,521 |
| CVX | $392.3B | 32.0× | — | 2.1× | -6.8% | 42.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | — | 4,121 |
| TTE | $201.1B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 951 |
| COP | $171.1B | 21.5× | — | 2.9× | 7.7% | 62.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | — | 2,450 |
| PBR | $157.4B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 524 |
| MPC | $120.9B | 30.0× | 10.4× | 0.9× | -4.4% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 23.4% | 20.6% | 0.2× | 1,802 |
| VLO | $118.3B | 50.6× | 22.4× | 1.0× | -5.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 1.7× | 1,781 |
| BP | $118.3B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1,220 |
| EQNR | $111.4B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 398 |
| PSX | $104.4B | 23.8× | — | 0.8× | -7.5% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 15.1% | 14.6% | — | 2,041 |
| WMB | $87.9B | 33.6× | 17.8× | 7.3× | 13.8% | — | 21.9% | 20.4% | 6.3% | 4.4× | 1,736 |
| EPD | $84.7B | — | 12.6× | 1.6× | -6.4% | 26.7% | 11.0% | — | — | 3.7× | 1,573 |
| EOG | $80.7B | 16.3× | 7.9× | 3.6× | -4.5% | — | 22.0% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 0.7× | 1,525 |
| SLB | $79.7B | 22.7× | — | 2.2× | -1.6% | — | 9.4% | 12.9% | 9.4% | — | 1,624 |
| ET | $74.0B | — | 9.9× | 0.9× | 3.5% | 25.8% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 4.8× | 1,244 |
| KMI | $68.9B | 22.6× | 14.1× | 4.1× | 12.2% | — | 18.0% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 4.5× | 1,745 |
| TRGP | $61.7B | 33.8× | 16.3× | 3.6× | 3.9% | 38.3% | 11.3% | 62.7% | 9.4% | 3.6× | 979 |
| OKE | $61.1B | 17.9× | 12.8× | 1.8× | 55.0% | 30.5% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 6.3% | 4.4× | 1,622 |
| OXY | $60.9B | 38.4× | — | 2.8× | -1.9% | — | 11.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | — | 1,250 |
| LNG | $60.3B | 11.4× | 7.8× | 3.0× | 27.2% | — | 26.7% | 67.3% | 17.3% | 2.2× | 1,303 |
| MPLX | $59.7B | — | — | 4.6× | 8.9% | — | 38.1% | — | — | — | 622 |
| TS | $59.1B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 248 |
| FANG | $58.5B | 35.9× | 11.6× | 3.9× | 35.8% | — | 11.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3× | 1,141 |
| BKR | $56.4B | — | — | 2.0× | -0.3% | — | 9.3% | 13.7% | 13.3% | — | 1,095 |
Peers = companies sharing ET's sector (Energy) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position