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Held by 1,126 of 5,944 reporting institutions (99th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $324.56 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 16.7%/yr for a decade (off $1.9B normalized FCF).
The market's 16.7% is more optimistic than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.23B shares · net debt -$918M
mean 226.9% · volatility σ 711% · implied rate exceeded in 2/9 yrs
Central path = implied 16.7%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (711%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
Ranked against 496 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | $2.93T | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.5% | 16.2% | — | 5,764 |
| TSLA | $1.21T | 297.7× | 127.6× | 12.7× | -2.9% | 18.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 0.9× | 4,029 |
| PDD | $517.8B | 38.5× | 37.5× | 8.4× | -84.3% | 56.3% | 22.7% | 23.7% | 23.7% | — | 548 |
| HD | $351.7B | 24.8× | 16.4× | 2.1× | 3.2% | 33.3% | 8.6% | 111% | 22.8% | 2.0× | 3,970 |
| TOYOF | $242.7B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
| TJX | $177.0B | 32.8× | — | 2.9× | 7.1% | 31.0% | 9.1% | 53.9% | 45.6% | — | 2,608 |
| LOW | $123.4B | 18.6× | 13.1× | 1.4× | 3.1% | 33.5% | 7.7% | -67.1% | 22.3% | 3.2× | 2,591 |
| SBUX | $120.5B | 65.0× | 28.7× | 3.2× | 2.8% | — | 5.0% | -22.9% | 28.7% | 3.1× | 2,252 |
| MELI | $97.5B | 48.8× | — | 3.4× | 39.1% | 44.5% | 6.9% | 29.6% | 12.5% | — | 1,380 |
| MAR | $96.1B | 38.0× | 22.3× | 3.7× | 4.3% | — | 9.9% | -69.0% | -69.4% | 0.0× | 1,559 |
| LKNCY | $94.1B | 183.4× | 99.1× | 13.4× | -79.6% | — | 7.3% | 23.0% | 23.0% | 0.0× | 9 |
| ABNB | $93.5B | — | 33.9× | 7.6× | 10.3% | 83.0% | 20.5% | 30.6% | 30.6% | 0.0× | 1,246 |
| RCL | $88.7B | 21.0× | — | 5.0× | 8.8% | 49.4% | 23.8% | 42.5% | 12.3% | — | 1,114 |
| ROST | $81.6B | 38.3× | 24.3× | 3.6× | 7.7% | 27.7% | 9.4% | 34.7% | 29.8% | 0.3× | 1,276 |
| GM | $80.6B | 27.3× | 4.0× | 0.4× | -1.3% | — | 1.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | 1,447 |
| ORLY | $78.7B | 31.5× | 21.3× | 4.4× | 6.4% | 51.6% | 14.3% | -333% | 48.3% | 1.5× | 1,569 |
| HLT | $74.8B | 53.0× | 25.7× | 6.2× | 7.7% | — | 12.1% | -27.0% | -27.0% | — | 1,126 |
| RACE | $71.5B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 690 |
| SE | $70.4B | 45.6× | 28.1× | 3.1× | 36.4% | 44.7% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | — | 718 |
| NKE | $63.0B | 20.2× | — | 1.4× | 0.2% | 42.9% | 6.7% | 20.9% | 14.9% | — | 1,848 |
| AZO | $51.4B | 21.1× | 14.2× | 2.7× | 2.4% | 52.6% | 13.2% | -73.2% | 46.4% | 2.1× | 1,245 |
| EBAY | $49.9B | 25.6× | 18.1× | 4.5× | 7.9% | 71.5% | 18.3% | 45.3% | 38.8% | 0.3× | 1,182 |
| VIK | $48.3B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 479 |
| CMG | $46.1B | 30.3× | 19.9× | 3.9× | 5.4% | — | 12.9% | 54.3% | 54.3% | 0.0× | 1,203 |
| DHI | $44.6B | 13.1× | — | 1.3× | -6.9% | 23.7% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 14.8% | — | 1,092 |
Peers = companies sharing HLT's sector (Consumer Cyclical) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
5/7 of the 9 checks — 2 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 7 with data.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Earnings are backed by cash (FCF ≥ net income) — high quality. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Interest coverage is thin — monitor.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 7% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $143M dividends + $3.2B buybacks = $3.3B returned on $2.0B FCF.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A cash-return story — far more went to shareholders than back into the business (mature, low-reinvestment).
Reinvestment has been productive — operating income grew well per dollar put in. Current ROIC on all capital: -27%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $918M covers the $25M due within a year 36.7× over. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2025-12-31 (10-K).
Insufficient EBITDA/debt history.
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Coverage is adequate but not comfortable.
Cash vs short-term debt unavailable.
Short-term / long-term split not separately reported.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-08-05
Where each multiple sits in its own 13-yr range · 83th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 13-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Returns are margin-driven, not leverage-driven — higher quality.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
High operating leverage: profit moved 1.8× as fast as sales — great in an upturn, painful in a downturn.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SG&A | 5.0 | 4.7 | 7.2 | 7.0 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| Operating Income | 16.1 | 17.5 | -9.7 | 17.4 | 23.9 | 21.7 | 21.2 | 22.4 |
| Income Tax | -3.5 | 3.8 | -4.7 | 2.6 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 5.1 |
| Net Income | 8.6 | 9.3 | -16.6 | 7.1 | 14.3 | 11.1 | 13.7 | 12.1 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on HLT: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
EOD close · as of 2026-08-05 · 16d old
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.04B 100.0% | $11.17B 100.0% | $10.23B 100.0% | $8.77B 100.0% | $5.79B 100.0% | $4.31B 100.0% | $9.45B 100.0% | $8.91B 100.0% | $8.13B 100.0% | $6.58B 100.0% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $393.0M 3.3% | $415.0M 3.7% | $408.0M 4.0% | $382.0M 4.4% | $405.0M 7.0% | $311.0M 7.2% | $441.0M 4.7% | $443.0M 5.0% | $439.0M 5.4% | $409.0M 6.2% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $9.35B 77.6% | $8.81B 78.8% | $8.01B 78.3% | $6.68B 76.1% | $4.77B 82.4% | $4.72B 109.7% | $7.88B 83.3% | $7.47B 83.9% | $7.00B 86.1% | $5.72B 86.9% |
| Operating Income | $2.69B 22.4% | $2.37B 21.2% | $2.23B 21.7% | $2.09B 23.9% | $1.01B 17.4% | -$418.0M -9.7% | $1.66B 17.5% | $1.43B 16.1% | $1.13B 13.9% | $868.0M 13.2% |
| Interest Expense | $620.0M 5.1% | $569.0M 5.1% | $464.0M 4.5% | $415.0M 4.7% | $397.0M 6.9% | $429.0M 10.0% | $414.0M 4.4% | $371.0M 4.2% | $351.0M 4.3% | $334.0M 5.1% |
| Interest & Investment Income | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $12.0M 0.2% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $10.0M 0.1% | -$6.0M -0.1% | $39.0M 0.4% | $50.0M 0.6% | $23.0M 0.4% | -$2.0M -0.0% | $3.0M 0.0% | $28.0M 0.3% | $29.0M 0.4% | $22.0M 0.3% |
| Pretax Income | $2.07B 17.2% | $1.78B 16.0% | $1.69B 16.5% | $1.73B 19.8% | $560.0M 9.7% | -$924.0M -21.5% | $1.24B 13.2% | $1.08B 12.1% | $753.0M 9.3% | $540.0M 8.2% |
| Income Tax Expense | $611.0M 5.1% | $244.0M 2.2% | $541.0M 5.3% | $477.0M 5.4% | $153.0M 2.6% | -$204.0M -4.7% | $358.0M 3.8% | -$309.0M -3.5% | $336.0M 4.1% | -$557.0M -8.5% |
| Net Income | $1.46B 12.1% | $1.53B 13.7% | $1.14B 11.1% | $1.25B 14.3% | $410.0M 7.1% | -$715.0M -16.6% | $881.0M 9.3% | $764.0M 8.6% | $1.08B 13.3% | $338.0M 5.1% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $6.18 | $6.20 | $4.36 | $4.56 | $1.47 | $-2.58 | $3.07 | $2.53 | $3.34 | $1.03 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $6.12 | $6.14 | $4.33 | $4.53 | $1.46 | $-2.58 | $3.04 | $2.50 | $3.32 | $1.03 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 236.0M | 248.0M | 262.0M | 275.0M | 279.0M | 277.0M | 287.0M | 302.0M | 324.0M | 329.0M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 238.0M | 250.0M | 264.0M | 277.0M | 281.0M | 277.0M | 290.0M | 305.0M | 327.0M | 329.0M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.