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Held by 450 of 5,944 reporting institutions (96th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $135.69 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 2.7%/yr for a decade (off $671M normalized FCF).
The market's 2.7% is more optimistic than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.06B shares · net debt $885M
mean 79.2% · volatility σ 245% · implied rate exceeded in 4/9 yrs
Central path = implied 2.7%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (245%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-08-05 · 15d old
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.79B 100.0% | $10.84B 100.0% | $11.14B 100.0% | $11.74B 100.0% | $11.20B 100.0% | $9.55B 100.0% | $9.97B 100.0% | $9.98B 100.0% | $9.49B 100.0% | $8.96B 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | $8.21B 76.1% | $8.15B 75.2% | $8.43B 75.7% | $8.79B 74.9% | $7.93B 70.8% | $7.12B 74.6% | $7.29B 73.2% | $7.15B 71.6% | $6.49B 68.4% | $6.15B 68.6% |
| Cost of Products | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $6.49B 68.4% | $6.15B 68.6% |
| Gross Profit | $2.57B 23.9% | $2.69B 24.8% | $2.71B 24.3% | $2.94B 25.1% | $3.27B 29.2% | $2.43B 25.4% | $2.68B 26.8% | $2.84B 28.4% | $3.00B 31.6% | $2.81B 31.4% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $2.06B 19.1% | $1.98B 18.3% | $2.12B 19.0% | $2.00B 17.1% | $1.93B 17.3% | $1.79B 18.8% | $1.85B 18.5% | $1.74B 17.5% | $1.64B 17.3% | $1.53B 17.1% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $103.4M 1.0% | $58.5M 0.5% | $133.9M 1.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating Income | $489.8M 4.5% | $693.5M 6.4% | -$291.9M -2.6% | $244.2M 2.1% | $1.34B 11.9% | $636.0M 6.7% | $827.2M 8.3% | $1.10B 11.0% | $1.35B 14.3% | $1.28B 14.3% |
| Interest Expense | $17.8M 0.2% | $48.5M 0.4% | $77.5M 0.7% | $51.9M 0.4% | $57.3M 0.5% | $52.4M 0.5% | $41.3M 0.4% | $38.8M 0.4% | $31.1M 0.3% | $40.5M 0.5% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | -$3.3M -0.0% | -$2.0M -0.0% | $5.4M 0.0% | -$8.4M -0.1% | $12.2M 0.1% | $751K 0.0% | -$36.4M -0.4% | -$7.3M -0.1% | -$5.2M -0.1% | $1.7M 0.0% |
| Pretax Income | $468.7M 4.3% | $643.0M 5.9% | -$364.0M -3.3% | $183.9M 1.6% | $1.29B 11.5% | $584.4M 6.1% | $749.5M 7.5% | $1.05B 10.5% | $1.32B 13.9% | $1.24B 13.9% |
| Income Tax Expense | $98.8M 0.9% | $128.2M 1.2% | $84.9M 0.8% | $158.1M 1.3% | $256.4M 2.3% | $68.6M 0.7% | $5.0M 0.0% | $184.3M 1.8% | $343.2M 3.6% | $307.6M 3.4% |
| Net Income | $369.9M 3.4% | $514.7M 4.7% | -$449.0M -4.0% | $25.2M 0.2% | $1.03B 9.2% | $515.6M 5.4% | $744.2M 7.5% | $861.7M 8.6% | $971.6M 10.2% | $930.4M 10.4% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $5.96 | $8.13 | $-7.05 | $0.40 | $15.01 | $7.24 | $10.34 | $11.53 | $13.07 | $12.55 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $5.93 | $8.09 | $-7.05 | $0.39 | $14.94 | $7.22 | $10.30 | $11.47 | $12.98 | $12.48 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 62.1M | 63.3M | 63.7M | 63.8M | 68.9M | 71.2M | 72.0M | 74.4M | 74.4M | 74.1M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 62.4M | 63.6M | 63.7M | 64.1M | 69.1M | 71.4M | 72.3M | 74.8M | 74.8M | 74.6M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Earnings are backed by cash (FCF ≥ net income) — high quality. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Comfortably covers interest; leverage rising year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
No dividend to cover. Last year: $0 dividends + $150M buybacks = $150M returned on $616M FCF.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A reinvestment story — most cash went back into growth rather than to shareholders.
Operating income fell despite reinvestment — a warning on capital productivity. Current ROIC on all capital: 4%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $856M covers the $289M due within a year 3.0× over. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2025-12-31 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest is easily covered by operating profit. Effective rate ~1.0% on $1.7B of debt.
Cash of $856M fully covers short-term debt of $289M.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Ranked against 496 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | $2.93T | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.5% | 16.2% | — | 5,764 |
| TSLA | $1.21T | 297.7× | 127.6× | 12.7× | -2.9% | 18.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 0.9× | 4,029 |
| PDD | $517.8B | 38.5× | 37.5× | 8.4× | -84.3% | 56.3% | 22.7% | 23.7% | 23.7% | — | 548 |
| HD | $351.7B | 24.8× | 16.4× | 2.1× | 3.2% | 33.3% | 8.6% | 111% | 22.8% | 2.0× | 3,970 |
| TOYOF | $242.7B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
| TJX | $177.0B | 32.8× | — | 2.9× | 7.1% | 31.0% | 9.1% | 53.9% | 45.6% | — | 2,608 |
| LOW | $123.4B | 18.6× | 13.1× | 1.4× | 3.1% | 33.5% | 7.7% | -67.1% | 22.3% | 3.2× | 2,591 |
| SBUX | $120.5B | 65.0× | 28.7× | 3.2× | 2.8% | — | 5.0% | -22.9% | 28.7% | 3.1× | 2,252 |
| MELI | $97.5B | 48.8× | — | 3.4× | 39.1% | 44.5% | 6.9% | 29.6% | 12.5% | — | 1,380 |
| MAR | $96.1B | 38.0× | 22.3× | 3.7× | 4.3% | — | 9.9% | -69.0% | -69.4% | 0.0× | 1,559 |
| LKNCY | $94.1B | 183.4× | 99.1× | 13.4× | -79.6% | — | 7.3% | 23.0% | 23.0% | 0.0× | 9 |
| ABNB | $93.5B | — | 33.9× | 7.6× | 10.3% | 83.0% | 20.5% | 30.6% | 30.6% | 0.0× | 1,246 |
| RCL | $88.7B | 21.0× | — | 5.0× | 8.8% | 49.4% | 23.8% | 42.5% | 12.3% | — | 1,114 |
| ROST | $81.6B | 38.3× | 24.3× | 3.6× | 7.7% | 27.7% | 9.4% | 34.7% | 29.8% | 0.3× | 1,276 |
| GM | $80.6B | 27.3× | 4.0× | 0.4× | -1.3% | — | 1.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | 1,447 |
| ORLY | $78.7B | 31.5× | 21.3× | 4.4× | 6.4% | 51.6% | 14.3% | -333% | 48.3% | 1.5× | 1,569 |
| HLT | $74.8B | 53.0× | 25.7× | 6.2× | 7.7% | — | 12.1% | -27.0% | -27.0% | — | 1,126 |
| RACE | $71.5B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 690 |
| SE | $70.4B | 45.6× | 28.1× | 3.1× | 36.4% | 44.7% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | — | 718 |
| NKE | $63.0B | 20.2× | — | 1.4× | 0.2% | 42.9% | 6.7% | 20.9% | 14.9% | — | 1,848 |
| AZO | $51.4B | 21.1× | 14.2× | 2.7× | 2.4% | 52.6% | 13.2% | -73.2% | 46.4% | 2.1× | 1,245 |
| EBAY | $49.9B | 25.6× | 18.1× | 4.5× | 7.9% | 71.5% | 18.3% | 45.3% | 38.8% | 0.3× | 1,182 |
| VIK | $48.3B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 479 |
| CMG | $46.1B | 30.3× | 19.9× | 3.9× | 5.4% | — | 12.9% | 54.3% | 54.3% | 0.0× | 1,203 |
| DHI | $44.6B | 13.1× | — | 1.3× | -6.9% | 23.7% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 14.8% | — | 1,092 |
| MHK | $8.4B | 22.9× | 8.2× | 0.8× | -0.5% | 23.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.5× | 450 |
Peers = companies sharing MHK's sector (Consumer Cyclical) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
EOD close · as of 2026-08-05
No material risks flagged.
Where each multiple sits in its own 14-yr range · 44th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 14-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Operating leverage needs meaningful revenue change.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 71.6 | 73.2 | 74.6 | 70.8 | 74.9 | 75.7 | 75.2 | 76.1 |
| Gross Profit | 28.4 | 26.8 | 25.4 | 29.2 | 25.1 | 24.3 | 24.8 | 23.9 |
| SG&A | 17.5 | 18.5 | 18.8 | 17.3 | 17.1 | 19.0 | 18.3 | 19.1 |
| Operating Income | 11.0 | 8.3 | 6.7 | 11.9 | 2.1 | -2.6 | 6.4 | 4.5 |
| Income Tax | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Net Income | 8.6 | 7.5 | 5.4 | 9.2 | 0.2 | -4.0 | 4.7 | 3.4 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on MHK: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.