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Held by 397 of 5,944 reporting institutions (96th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $21.85 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 11.9%/yr for a decade (off $142M normalized FCF).
The market's 11.9% is in line with its 7-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.16B shares · net debt $452M
mean 194.4% · volatility σ 472% · implied rate exceeded in 3/6 yrs
Central path = implied 11.9%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (472%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Eight indices comparing this year to last (receivables, margins, asset quality, growth, accruals, leverage). Above −1.78 suggests possible manipulation; below −2.22 is clean.
A screen, not proof — high growth alone can raise it.
Cash conversion lags reported earnings — watch accruals. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Comfortably covers interest; leverage falling year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 24% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $42M dividends + $15M buybacks = $57M returned on $172M FCF.
9 consecutive years of dividend increases · 12%/yr.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A cash-return story — far more went to shareholders than back into the business (mature, low-reinvestment).
Reinvestment has been productive — operating income grew well per dollar put in. Current ROIC on all capital: 13%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
$6M of principal comes due within a year. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2016-09-30 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest is easily covered by operating profit. Effective rate ~4.4% on $452M of debt.
Cash vs short-term debt unavailable.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.43B 100.0% | $1.31B 100.0% | $1.28B 100.0% | $1.25B 100.0% | $1.11B 100.0% | $964.1M 100.0% | $968.0M 100.0% | $916.0M 100.0% | $826.0M 100.0% | $800.6M 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | $913.0M 63.9% | $855.7M 65.1% | $896.2M 70.3% | $883.1M 70.8% | $752.5M 67.7% | $635.9M 66.0% | $647.1M 66.8% | $626.1M 68.4% | $558.1M 67.6% | $531.7M 66.4% |
| Gross Profit | $516.7M 36.1% | $459.0M 34.9% | $379.5M 29.7% | $364.3M 29.2% | $358.5M 32.3% | $328.2M 34.0% | $320.9M 33.2% | $289.9M 31.6% | $267.9M 32.4% | $268.9M 33.6% |
| Research & Development | $19.9M 1.4% | $20.5M 1.6% | $25.9M 2.0% | $24.5M 2.0% | $17.1M 1.5% | $15.0M 1.6% | $14.3M 1.5% | $11.6M 1.3% | $12.1M 1.5% | $9.9M 1.2% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $247.3M 17.3% | $245.2M 18.7% | $241.9M 19.0% | $238.7M 19.1% | $218.8M 19.7% | $198.4M 20.6% | $182.7M 18.9% | $166.7M 18.2% | $155.4M 18.8% | $149.5M 18.7% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $256.1M 17.9% | $277.3M 21.1% | $252.1M 19.8% | $252.7M 20.3% | $226.8M 20.4% | $211.4M 21.9% | $196.6M 20.3% | $168.2M 18.4% | $165.8M 20.1% | $156.7M 19.6% |
| Operating Income | $260.6M 18.2% | $181.7M 13.8% | $127.4M 10.0% | $111.6M 8.9% | $131.7M 11.9% | $116.8M 12.1% | $124.3M 12.8% | $121.7M 13.3% | $102.1M 12.4% | $112.2M 14.0% |
| Interest Expense | $20.0M 1.4% | $21.5M 1.6% | $18.4M 1.4% | $17.6M 1.4% | $23.8M 2.1% | $26.6M 2.8% | $23.3M 2.4% | $25.3M 2.8% | $24.2M 2.9% | $24.0M 3.0% |
| Interest & Investment Income | $13.4M 0.9% | $8.8M 0.7% | $3.7M 0.3% | $700K 0.1% | $400K 0.0% | $1.1M 0.1% | $3.5M 0.4% | $4.4M 0.5% | $2.0M 0.2% | $400K 0.0% |
| Pretax Income | $254.2M 17.8% | $163.4M 12.4% | $109.0M 8.5% | $98.6M 7.9% | $94.9M 8.5% | $94.1M 9.8% | $82.1M 8.5% | $95.7M 10.4% | — | — |
| Income Tax Expense | $62.5M 4.4% | $47.5M 3.6% | $23.5M 1.8% | $22.0M 1.8% | $24.5M 2.2% | $22.1M 2.3% | $18.3M 1.9% | -$9.9M -1.1% | $24.2M 2.9% | $24.2M 3.0% |
| Net Income | $191.7M 13.4% | $115.9M 8.8% | $85.5M 6.7% | $76.6M 6.1% | $70.4M 6.3% | $72.0M 7.5% | $63.8M 6.6% | $105.6M 11.5% | $123.3M 14.9% | $63.9M 8.0% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $1.23 | $0.74 | $0.55 | $0.49 | $0.44 | — | $0.40 | $0.67 | $0.77 | $0.40 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.22 | $0.74 | $0.55 | $0.48 | $0.44 | — | $0.40 | $0.66 | $0.76 | $0.39 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 156.4M | 155.9M | 156.3M | 157.4M | 158.4M | 157.8M | 157.8M | 158.2M | 160.1M | 161.3M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 157.5M | 156.9M | 156.8M | 158.0M | 159.2M | 158.6M | 159.0M | 159.7M | 161.8M | 163.4M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
No standout strengths flagged.
Nothing notable to watch.
No material risks flagged.
Where each multiple sits in its own 14-yr range · 60th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 14-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Returns are margin-driven, not leverage-driven — higher quality.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
High operating leverage: profit moved 5.0× as fast as sales — great in an upturn, painful in a downturn.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 68.4 | 66.8 | 66.0 | 67.7 | 70.8 | 70.3 | 65.1 | 63.9 |
| Gross Profit | 31.6 | 33.2 | 34.0 | 32.3 | 29.2 | 29.7 | 34.9 | 36.1 |
| R&D | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| SG&A | 18.2 | 18.9 | 20.6 | 19.7 | 19.1 | 19.0 | 18.7 | 17.3 |
| Operating Income | 13.3 | 12.8 | 12.1 | 11.9 | 8.9 | 10.0 | 13.8 | 18.2 |
| Income Tax | -1.1 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| Net Income | 11.5 | 6.6 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 6.7 | 8.8 | 13.4 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on MWA: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
Ranked against 651 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM | $28.75T | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 160 |
| CAT | $364.2B | 41.6× | 29.1× | 5.4× | 4.3% | 33.8% | 13.1% | 41.7% | 15.4% | 2.7× | 3,616 |
| GE | $328.2B | 38.4× | — | 7.2× | 18.5% | — | 19.0% | 46.6% | 22.2% | — | 3,077 |
| RTX | $264.2B | 39.7× | 18.8× | 3.0× | 9.7% | — | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 0.0× | 3,277 |
| BA | $204.4B | 81.4× | 41.0× | 2.3× | 34.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 41.0% | 3.3% | 10.0× | 2,435 |
| DE | $181.0B | 36.2× | — | 4.0× | -11.7% | — | 11.0% | 19.4% | 12.6% | — | 2,491 |
| ABBNY | $174.3B | 47.1× | 31.1× | 5.4× | 9.5% | 34.8% | 11.9% | 28.5% | 20.4% | 0.9× | 48 |
| UNP | $166.7B | 23.4× | 16.0× | 6.8× | 1.1% | — | 29.1% | 38.7% | 14.2% | 2.6× | 2,648 |
| ETN | $154.3B | 38.1× | — | 5.6× | 10.3% | 37.6% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 13.9% | — | 2,398 |
| HON | $131.9B | 28.2× | 16.2× | 3.5× | 7.8% | 36.9% | 12.6% | 34.0% | 9.8% | 3.6× | 2,694 |
| LMT | $123.0B | 25.0× | 16.1× | 1.6× | 5.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 74.6% | 17.7% | 2.5× | 2,807 |
| PH | $117.9B | 33.9× | 26.6× | 5.9× | -0.4% | 36.9% | 17.8% | 25.8% | 16.7% | 1.6× | 1,845 |
| ADP | $108.7B | 25.0× | — | 5.0× | 6.7% | 46.4% | 20.1% | 73.2% | 40.1% | — | 2,179 |
| GD | $97.3B | 23.3× | 17.1× | 1.9× | 10.1% | — | 8.0% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 1.3× | 2,123 |
| TT | $94.0B | 32.5× | 23.2× | 4.4× | 7.5% | — | 13.7% | 34.0% | 22.1% | 1.1× | 1,658 |
| PWR | $92.6B | 91.1× | 46.0× | 3.3× | 20.3% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 0.4× | 1,659 |
| VRT | $91.6B | 70.2× | 43.4× | 8.9× | 27.7% | 36.3% | 13.0% | 33.8% | 19.4% | 1.4× | 1,748 |
| JCI | $91.6B | 27.9× | — | 3.9× | 2.8% | 36.4% | 13.9% | 25.5% | 14.4% | — | 1,487 |
| HWM | $91.5B | 61.4× | 40.3× | 11.1× | 11.1% | — | 18.3% | 28.2% | 17.9% | 1.3× | 1,399 |
| CSX | $89.1B | 31.1× | 14.4× | 6.3× | -3.1% | — | 20.5% | 22.0% | 22.0% | — | 1,791 |
| MMM | $86.2B | 27.1× | 16.6× | 3.5× | 1.5% | 39.9% | 13.0% | 69.1% | 18.8% | 2.1× | 2,051 |
| WM | $86.2B | 31.9× | 12.1× | 3.4× | 14.2% | 40.4% | 10.7% | 27.1% | 25.3% | 0.1× | 2,262 |
| UPS | $83.9B | 15.1× | 9.4× | 0.9× | -2.6% | — | 6.3% | 34.3% | 13.8% | 2.2× | 2,025 |
| EMR | $82.1B | 36.1× | — | 4.6× | 3.0% | 52.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.9% | — | 2,112 |
| CTAS | $80.4B | 45.3× | 28.9× | 7.8× | 7.7% | 50.0% | 17.5% | 38.7% | 25.5% | 0.8× | 1,366 |
| MWA | $3.6B | 18.6× | 13.0× | 2.5× | 8.7% | 36.1% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 13.4% | 1.5× | 397 |
Peers = companies sharing MWA's sector (Industrials) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.