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Strong institutional distribution: ownership decreased -3.38% quarter-over-quarter.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $9.12 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 1.3%/yr for a decade (off $252M normalized FCF).
The market's 1.3% is more optimistic than its 2-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.32B shares · net debt $265M
mean -20.7% · volatility σ 8% · implied rate exceeded in 0/2 yrs
Central path = implied 1.3%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (8%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
EOD close · as of 2026-08-05 · 15d old
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.75B 100.0% | $1.77B 100.0% | $1.37B 100.0% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $1.71B 98.2% | $386.5M 21.8% | $275.5M 20.1% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $3.09B 177.0% | $1.63B 92.2% | $1.11B 81.5% |
| Operating Income | -$1.34B -77.0% | $138.1M 7.8% | $253.2M 18.5% |
| Interest Expense | $140.0M 8.0% | $179.8M 10.2% | $155.9M 11.4% |
| Interest & Investment Income | $42.4M 2.4% | $41.1M 2.3% | $22.5M 1.6% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | -$201.4M -11.5% | -$100.8M -5.7% | -$167.6M -12.3% |
| Pretax Income | -$1.55B -88.5% | $37.3M 2.1% | $85.6M 6.3% |
| Income Tax Expense | $360.6M 20.7% | $40.1M 2.3% | -$319.6M -23.4% |
| Net Income | -$1.91B -109.2% | -$2.8M -0.2% | $405.2M 29.6% |
| Per Share | |||
| EPS (Basic) | $-6.25 | $-0.18 | $1.16 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-6.27 | $-0.18 | $1.14 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 318.6M | 304.4M | 302.1M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 319.2M | 304.4M | 307.8M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
4/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Cash-conversion data unavailable. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Interest coverage is thin — monitor; leverage falling year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
No dividend to cover. Last year: $0 dividends + $1M buybacks = $1M returned on $191M FCF.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 3 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A reinvestment story — most cash went back into growth rather than to shareholders.
Operating income fell despite reinvestment — a warning on capital productivity. Current ROIC on all capital: -71%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 3 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-08-05
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
High operating leverage: profit moved 746.7× as fast as sales — great in an upturn, painful in a downturn.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| SG&A | 20.1 | 21.8 | 98.2 |
| Operating Income | 18.5 | 7.8 | -77.0 |
| Income Tax | -23.4 | 2.3 | 20.7 |
| Net Income | 29.6 | -0.2 | -109.2 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on STUB: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $1.2B covers the $0 due within a year 1241587000.0× over. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2025-12-31 (10-K).
Insufficient EBITDA/debt history.
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Thin coverage — earnings barely cover interest. Effective rate ~9.3% on $1.5B of debt.
Cash of $1.2B fully covers short-term debt of $0.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
Ranked against 768 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | $5.33T | 44.7× | 40.0× | 24.7× | 65.5% | 71.1% | 55.6% | 76.3% | 72.4% | 0.1× | 5,582 |
| AAPL | $4.59T | 41.7× | 32.0× | 11.0× | 6.4% | 46.9% | 26.9% | 152% | 73.7% | 0.5× | 5,858 |
| MSFT | $3.62T | 27.2× | 19.1× | 10.9× | 17.8% | 67.9% | 40.3% | 30.2% | 28.2% | 0.2× | 5,944 |
| AVGO | $1.98T | 87.7× | 78.0× | 31.0× | 23.9% | 67.8% | 36.2% | 28.4% | 15.8% | 2.5× | 4,442 |
| MU | $1.00T | 117.7× | 55.4× | 26.8× | 48.9% | 39.8% | 22.8% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 0.7× | 2,894 |
| AMD | $785.7B | 181.9× | 185.9× | 22.7× | 34.3% | 49.5% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 0.8× | 3,059 |
| ASMLF | $649.1B | 68.2× | 51.8× | 19.9× | 15.6% | 52.8% | 29.4% | 49.0% | 43.1% | 0.2× | 2 |
| INTC | $504.7B | — | 62.9× | 9.6× | -0.5% | 34.8% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -0.2% | 5.5× | 2,495 |
| CSCO | $481.1B | 47.6× | 40.2× | 8.5× | 5.3% | 64.9% | 18.0% | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.3× | 3,560 |
| AMAT | $423.7B | 61.7× | 48.7× | 14.9× | 4.4% | 48.7% | 24.7% | 34.3% | 25.9% | 0.8× | 2,826 |
| LRCX | $390.0B | 74.1× | 62.2× | 21.2× | 23.7% | 48.7% | 29.1% | 54.3% | 39.5% | 0.6× | 2,500 |
| PLTR | $378.8B | 251.5× | 262.1× | 84.7× | 56.2% | 82.4% | 36.3% | 22.0% | 22.0% | — | 2,883 |
| RPAY | $342.2B | — | — | 1106.6× | -1.2% | 75.0% | -83.0% | -53.0% | -33.6% | -1.1× | 142 |
| DELL | $301.7B | 53.3× | 28.8× | 2.7× | 18.8% | 20.0% | 5.2% | -240% | 20.4% | 2.8× | 1,564 |
| ARM | $292.2B | 323.0× | 251.9× | 59.4× | 22.8% | 97.5% | 18.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | — | 730 |
| TXN | $252.4B | 51.0× | 33.1× | 14.3× | 13.0% | 57.0% | 28.3% | 30.7% | 16.8% | 1.7× | 2,345 |
| ANET | $247.8B | 71.7× | 62.6× | 27.5× | 28.6% | 64.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | 1,930 |
| UMC | $242.3B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 302 |
| PANW | $242.3B | 226.7× | 151.3× | 26.3× | 14.9% | 73.4% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 14.5% | — | 2,374 |
| SAPGF | $241.4B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 |
| IBM | $221.0B | 21.1× | — | 3.3× | 7.6% | 58.2% | 15.7% | 32.4% | 11.3% | — | 3,351 |
| APH | $211.2B | 51.5× | 29.5× | 9.1× | 51.7% | 36.9% | 18.5% | 31.8% | 31.8% | — | 2,017 |
| SNDK | $197.2B | — | — | 26.8× | 10.4% | 30.1% | -22.3% | -17.8% | -14.9% | -1.5× | 1,127 |
| SHOP | $187.4B | 153.4× | 124.0× | 16.2× | 30.1% | 48.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | — | 1,642 |
| ADI | $184.9B | 82.8× | 57.2× | 16.8× | 16.9% | 61.5% | 20.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.6× | 2,030 |
| STUB | $2.9B | — | — | 1.7× | -1.4% | — | -109% | -161% | -70.8% | -1.1× | 142 |
Peers = companies sharing STUB's sector (Technology) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.