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Held by 261 of 5,944 reporting institutions (93th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $15.94 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 12.4%/yr for a decade (off $54M normalized FCF).
The market's 12.4% is more conservative than its 6-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.11B shares · net debt -$146M
mean -671.1% · volatility σ 1247% · implied rate exceeded in 2/3 yrs
Central path = implied 12.4%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (1247%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
EOD close · as of 2026-08-05 · 15d old
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $529.3M 100.0% | $510.9M 100.0% | $491.2M 100.0% | $490.4M 100.0% | $435.1M 100.0% | $357.2M 100.0% | $370.0M 100.0% | $464.9M 100.0% | $370.7M 100.0% | $184.6M 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | $296.5M 56.0% | $323.4M 63.3% | $323.6M 65.9% | $354.4M 72.3% | $327.1M 75.2% | $301.8M 84.5% | $334.2M 90.3% | $372.8M 80.2% | $279.4M 75.4% | $146.6M 79.4% |
| Gross Profit | $232.8M 44.0% | $187.5M 36.7% | $167.6M 34.1% | $136.0M 27.7% | $108.0M 24.8% | $55.4M 15.5% | $35.8M 9.7% | $92.1M 19.8% | $91.2M 24.6% | $38.0M 20.6% |
| Research & Development | $73.7M 13.9% | $73.2M 14.3% | $68.6M 14.0% | $64.7M 13.2% | $59.1M 13.6% | $60.1M 16.8% | $69.4M 18.8% | $58.8M 12.6% | $34.7M 9.4% | $24.4M 13.2% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $66.1M 12.5% | $72.1M 14.1% | $56.4M 11.5% | $55.9M 11.4% | $49.5M 11.4% | $51.1M 14.3% | $47.6M 12.9% | $28.2M 6.1% | $15.1M 4.1% | $8.3M 4.5% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $226.8M 42.8% | $222.4M 43.5% | $192.5M 39.2% | $192.9M 39.3% | $168.2M 38.6% | $160.3M 44.9% | $121.0M 32.7% | $166.8M 35.9% | $85.5M 23.1% | $51.2M 27.7% |
| Operating Income | $6.1M 1.1% | -$34.9M -6.8% | -$24.9M -5.1% | -$56.9M -11.6% | -$60.1M -13.8% | -$104.9M -29.4% | -$85.2M -23.0% | -$74.8M -16.1% | $5.7M 1.5% | -$13.1M -7.1% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $9.6M 1.8% | $5.5M 1.1% | $4.0M 0.8% | $302K 0.1% | $4.8M 1.1% | $3.4M 1.0% | $913K 0.2% | -$1.2M -0.3% | $1.9M 0.5% | -$512K -0.3% |
| Pretax Income | $15.7M 3.0% | -$29.4M -5.8% | -$20.9M -4.2% | -$55.7M -11.3% | -$55.4M -12.7% | -$100.6M -28.2% | -$81.6M -22.0% | -$74.7M -16.1% | $7.7M 2.1% | -$13.7M -7.4% |
| Income Tax Expense | $741K 0.1% | $1.1M 0.2% | $1.2M 0.2% | $975K 0.2% | $677K 0.2% | $625K 0.2% | $4.4M 1.2% | $772K 0.2% | $1.1M 0.3% | $83K 0.0% |
| Net Income | $14.9M 2.8% | -$30.5M -6.0% | -$22.0M -4.5% | -$56.6M -11.5% | -$56.0M -12.9% | -$101.3M -28.3% | -$86.0M -23.2% | -$75.5M -16.2% | $6.5M 1.8% | -$13.7M -7.4% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $0.14 | $-0.31 | $-0.24 | $-0.65 | $-0.68 | $-1.30 | $-1.14 | $-1.12 | $0.11 | $-0.22 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.14 | $-0.31 | $-0.24 | $-0.65 | $-0.68 | $-1.30 | $-1.14 | $-1.12 | $0.11 | $-0.22 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 104.2M | 98.6M | 92.8M | 87.2M | 82.7M | 78.1M | 75.1M | 67.2M | 62.3M | 62.3M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 110.2M | 98.6M | 92.8M | 87.2M | 82.7M | 78.1M | 75.1M | 67.2M | 62.3M | 62.3M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
6/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Eight indices comparing this year to last (receivables, margins, asset quality, growth, accruals, leverage). Above −1.78 suggests possible manipulation; below −2.22 is clean.
A screen, not proof — high growth alone can raise it.
Earnings are backed by cash (FCF ≥ net income) — high quality. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Coverage data unavailable.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
No dividend to cover. Last year: $0 dividends + $46M buybacks = $46M returned on $78M FCF.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A balanced mix of reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Reinvestment has been productive — operating income grew well per dollar put in. Current ROIC on all capital: 12%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Insufficient EBITDA/debt history.
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest expense isn't separately reported — often netted into “other income (expense), net.”
Cash vs short-term debt unavailable.
Short-term / long-term split not separately reported.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-08-05
No material risks flagged.
Where each multiple sits in its own 8-yr range · 100th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 8-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Profit and sales moved in opposite directions this year.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 80.2 | 90.3 | 84.5 | 75.2 | 72.3 | 65.9 | 63.3 | 56.0 |
| Gross Profit | 19.8 | 9.7 | 15.5 | 24.8 | 27.7 | 34.1 | 36.7 | 44.0 |
| R&D | 12.6 | 18.8 | 16.8 | 13.6 | 13.2 | 14.0 | 14.3 | 13.9 |
| SG&A | 6.1 | 12.9 | 14.3 | 11.4 | 11.4 | 11.5 | 14.1 | 12.5 |
| Operating Income | -16.1 | -23.0 | -29.4 | -13.8 | -11.6 | -5.1 | -6.8 | 1.1 |
| Income Tax | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Net Income | -16.2 | -23.2 | -28.3 | -12.9 | -11.5 | -4.5 | -6.0 | 2.8 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on ARLO: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
Ranked against 633 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM | $33.13T | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 160 |
| CAT | $405.3B | 46.3× | 32.2× | 6.0× | 4.3% | 33.8% | 13.1% | 41.7% | 15.4% | 2.7× | 3,616 |
| GE | $399.8B | 46.8× | — | 8.7× | 18.5% | — | 19.0% | 46.6% | 22.2% | — | 3,077 |
| RTX | $298.4B | 44.8× | 21.3× | 3.4× | 9.7% | — | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 0.0× | 3,277 |
| ABBNY | $187.8B | 50.7× | 33.5× | 5.8× | 9.5% | 34.8% | 11.9% | 28.5% | 20.4% | 0.9× | 48 |
| UNP | $175.3B | 24.7× | 16.7× | 7.2× | 1.1% | — | 29.1% | 38.7% | 14.2% | 2.6× | 2,648 |
| ETN | $173.5B | 42.8× | — | 6.3× | 10.3% | 37.6% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 13.9% | — | 2,398 |
| DE | $165.5B | 33.1× | — | 3.6× | -11.7% | — | 11.0% | 19.4% | 12.6% | — | 2,491 |
| HON | $157.6B | 33.7× | 18.9× | 4.2× | 7.8% | 36.9% | 12.6% | 34.0% | 9.8% | 3.6× | 2,694 |
| HTHIF | $153.6B | 0.7× | — | 0.0× | 3.9% | 25.2% | 2.6% | 16.6% | 7.4% | — | 2 |
| LMT | $132.3B | 26.9× | 17.0× | 1.8× | 5.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 74.6% | 18.4% | 2.4× | 2,807 |
| PH | $127.9B | 36.8× | 28.7× | 6.4× | -0.4% | 36.9% | 17.8% | 25.8% | 16.7% | 1.6× | 1,845 |
| HWM | $117.0B | 78.5× | 51.2× | 14.2× | 11.1% | — | 18.3% | 28.2% | 18.4% | 1.2× | 1,399 |
| ADP | $109.5B | 27.1× | — | 5.3× | 7.1% | 46.0% | 19.8% | 65.9% | 40.1% | — | 2,179 |
| TT | $107.8B | 37.3× | 26.5× | 5.1× | 7.5% | — | 13.7% | 34.0% | 22.1% | 1.1× | 1,658 |
| VRT | $106.3B | 81.5× | 50.3× | 10.4× | 27.7% | 36.3% | 13.0% | 33.8% | 19.5% | 1.4× | 1,748 |
| GD | $103.9B | 24.9× | 18.1× | 2.0× | 10.1% | — | 8.0% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 1.3× | 2,123 |
| PWR | $102.2B | 100.4× | 50.3× | 3.6× | 20.3% | 15.0% | 3.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 0.0× | 1,659 |
| JCI | $100.1B | 30.6× | — | 4.2× | 2.8% | 36.4% | 13.9% | 25.5% | 14.4% | — | 1,487 |
| MMM | $96.6B | 30.4× | 18.4× | 3.9× | 1.5% | 39.9% | 13.0% | 69.1% | 18.8% | 2.1× | 2,051 |
| CSX | $95.1B | 33.2× | 15.3× | 6.8× | -3.1% | — | 20.5% | 22.0% | 22.0% | — | 1,791 |
| EMR | $91.4B | 40.2× | — | 5.1× | 3.0% | 52.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.9% | — | 2,112 |
| UPS | $91.4B | 16.4× | 10.1× | 1.0× | -2.6% | — | 6.3% | 34.3% | 13.8% | 2.2× | 2,025 |
| WM | $90.4B | 33.5× | 12.7× | 3.6× | 14.2% | 40.4% | 10.7% | 27.1% | 25.3% | 0.1× | 2,262 |
| CMI | $89.7B | 31.7× | 16.9× | 2.7× | -1.3% | 25.3% | 8.8% | 23.9% | 23.9% | — | 1,877 |
| ARLO | $1.7B | 113.9× | 152.7× | 3.2× | 3.6% | 44.0% | 2.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | — | 261 |
Peers = companies sharing ARLO's sector (Industrials) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.